Two weeks before launch, data firm Sensor Tower has updated its GTA 6 sales tracker to an estimated 7.71 million pre-orders, which it values at about $751 million in revenue, according to Kotaku’s report on the tracker. Estimate
What the estimate says
- PS5: about 5.74 million copies, roughly 74% of the total.
- Xbox Series X|S: about 1.97 million copies, roughly 26%.
- Trend: the tracker shows pre-orders picking up after the Extended Look premiered on Netflix.
Kotaku suggests the PS5 lead may reflect Sony’s marketing campaign for the game and the lower price of a base PS5 compared with a base Xbox Series X. Those are explanations offered by the outlet, not confirmed causes.
How to read the number
It is not official. Rockstar and Take-Two have not published pre-order unit counts. We have not seen Sensor Tower’s method described in the reports we reviewed, so the figure should be treated as a modelled estimate.
One detail worth noticing: $751 million across 7.71 million copies works out to roughly $97 per copy. That is well above the $79.99 Standard Edition price and close to the $99.99 Ultimate Edition price, which suggests the model assumes a heavy mix of higher-priced editions or other pricing inputs. We cannot see those assumptions. See our price and editions guide for what each edition costs.
How it compares
Kotaku points out that Cyberpunk 2077 reportedly drew around 8 million pre-orders before its 2020 launch, which puts this estimate just behind it. The same report says Piper Sandler is forecasting 45 million sales for GTA 6’s launch window, and that anything less might be seen as a disappointment. Both are outside estimates, not company guidance. Reported
What Take-Two has actually said
Take-Two has not given a unit number. Xbox said earlier that GTA 6 pre-orders were setting records on its platform (our report), and we have tracked every public estimate in our pre-order numbers fact-check. The next scheduled chance for Take-Two to address demand is its earnings call on November 9; see what to watch.
Sensor Tower GTA 6 estimate FAQ
How many GTA 6 pre-orders has Sensor Tower estimated?
About 7.71 million copies, worth an estimated $751 million, with roughly 74% on PS5 and 26% on Xbox Series X|S.
Has Rockstar confirmed GTA 6 pre-order numbers?
No. Rockstar and Take-Two have not published an official pre-order unit count. The Sensor Tower figure is a third-party estimate.
Sources
- Kotaku — GTA 6 has already sold nearly 8 million copies, one data firm claims
- Sensor Tower — GTA VI sales tracker
